With the NFL season almost over, we’re down to just two games for each team. The final matchup of the weekend pits our AFC South division champion Houston Texans against one-loss Tennessee Titans in a battle of historically bad defenses.
The “week 11 nfl 2021” is a website that provides NFL Week 11 game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips, odds, injuries and more.
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The NFL’s Week 11 schedule for the 2021 season is chock-full of intriguing games, and we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know going into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters provide us with the most important aspects of each game, as well as a bold prediction for each matchup and, of course, final score predictions.
Additionally, for each game, ESPN Stats & Information gives a key statistic to know as well as a betting nugget, and our Football Power Index (FPI) delves deeper into the stats with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game forecast. Kyle Soppe, an ESPN researcher, also provides useful fantasy football advice. Everything you need to know to prepare for a jam-packed weekend of NFL football is right here in one place.
Let’s take a look at the whole Week 11 schedule, which includes a key divisional showdown between Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes for the Packers, Jonathan Taylor facing the Bills’ formidable run defense, and Cam Newton playing his former coach Ron Rivera. It all comes to a head on Monday Night Football when the Giants take on the Buccaneers on ESPN. (Unless otherwise stated, all games are on Sunday.)
GB-MIN | IND-BUF | NO-PHI BAL-CHI | WSH-CAR | HOU-TEN DET-CLE | SF-JAX | MIA-NYJ CIN-LV | DAL-KC | ARI-SEA PIT-LAC | NYG-TB GB-MIN | IND-BUF | NO-PHI BAL-CHI | WSH-CAR | HOU-TEN DET-CLE | SF-JAX | MIA
NE 25, ATL 0; DEN, LAR; DEN, LAR; DEN, LAR; DEN, LAR; DEN, LAR; DEN,
1 p.m. ET | 71.2 Fox Matchup rating | GB -1.5 spread (47.5)
What to look out for: The chess match between Mike Zimmer and Aaron Rodgers is always entertaining. Eight of the Vikings’ nine games have been decided by seven points or less, including six straight, and Rodgers has 50 career throwing touchdowns versus them compared to just seven interceptions. Zimmer understands that Rodgers has previously seen all the Vikings’ defense has to offer, so it’ll be a question of time and execution for Minnesota to restrict Rodgers while taking advantage of the home fans. Courtney Cronin (Courtney Cronin)
Rodgers’ stretch of touchdown passes (26) since his last interception against a division opponent will come to an end on Sunday, according to a bold prediction. He threw an uncommon interception against Seattle last week, and he didn’t have much practice time this week to attempt to get his timing back. And don’t be shocked if he’s intercepted by Minnesota safety Harrison Smith. Demovsky, Rob
This season, Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has a 9.0 touchdown-to-interception ratio, which is the best in the NFL (18 touchdowns, two interceptions). This season, the Packers are 8-0 when intercepting passes and 0-2 when they don’t.
Packers vs. Vikings: Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: With Aaron Jones out, the Packers’ AJ Dillon has been a top-20 rushing back for the last two weeks and is expected to take up the complete burden. Check out the Week 11 standings.
Green Bay is 9-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, covering nine consecutive games. It’s Green Bay’s longest cover streak in the Super Bowl era, and it’s tied for third-longest in a single season. Continue reading to learn more.
Packers 23, Vikings 20 is Demovsky’s prediction. Packers 24, Vikings 23 is Cronin’s prediction. The FPI predicts that the United Kingdom will win 54.3 percent of the vote (by an average of 1.5 points)
Packers’ Rodgers (toe) misses out practice but expects to play against the Vikings… The Vikings activate their safety system. Smith is removed off the COVID-19 list, while CB Peterson is activated from IR… For the first time in ten years, the Packers are offering ‘ownership’ shares… The Vikings’ fresh aggression is centered on Jefferson and the playmakers who will lead the way.
1 p.m. ET | 70.9 CBS Matchup Rating | BUF -7.5 Spread (49.5)
What to look out for: Will the Bills be able to shut down Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor? This season, Buffalo’s defense has restricted opponent running backs, with just one carrying for more over 100 yards (Derrick Henry). Taylor has the second-most 10-yard runs in the NFL, while the Bills allow the second-fewest long rushes. Something must flex. Buffalo’s defense has dominated opponents this season, averaging 15.0 points against per game (fewest in the NFL). Stopping Taylor will be a major challenge. Alaina Getzenberg is a writer who lives in New York City.
Colts quarterback Carson Wentz will throw two interceptions versus Buffalo, according to a bold prediction. Although he has just three interceptions on the season, the Bills have forced an NFL-high 24 turnovers, 15 of which have been interceptions. Wentz admits that he is a risk-taker when it comes to attempting to make plays happen. Unlike other teams in the NFL, the Bills will punish Wentz for taking such risks. Mike Wells’ remark
The Bills have outscored opponents by 145 points this season, and their plus-138 point differential is the greatest in team history through 10 games (1990). They now rank second in points per game (31.1) and first in points allowed per game (15.0), putting them in position to become the first team since the 2007 Patriots to lead the NFL in scoring offense and defense in Week 11 or later.
1 p.m. ET | PHI -1.5 spread | Fox Matchup rating: 56.4 (43)
What to look for: Over the last three weeks, the Eagles have had the greatest rushing offense in the league, averaging 209 yards per game. Meanwhile, the Saints have the NFL’s best rush defense. It’s a game of strength against. strength. To make matters even more fascinating, consider the following: Miles Sanders, the Philadelphia Eagles’ running back, might be back in the lineup after missing several weeks due to an ankle ailment. Tim McManus, Ph.D.
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Jalen Hurts’ hot run will come to an end with two turnovers, according to a bold prediction. The Saints’ run defense is looking to avenge a rare failure in Philadelphia last season, when both Hurts and Sanders rushed for more than 100 yards in the same game, the only two players to do it against the Saints since 2017. New Orleans also wants to avoid a three-game losing skid for the first time since 2016. Triplett, Mike
This season, the Saints have allowed an NFL-low 1.9 yards per zone-read run. The Eagles have the most zone-read running yards in the NFL (510).
Saints | Eagles Injuries
What you should know for fantasy football: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith hasn’t simply been the WR1 the previous two weeks (45.2 fantasy points). Over the same time period, he ranks third among all flex players, following just Jonathan Taylor and James Conner. Check out the Week 11 standings.
New Orleans is 4-0 ATS and 3-1 in straight games as an underdog this season. In its last ten games as an underdog, it is 9-1 ATS and 8-2 outright. Continue reading to learn more.
Saints 25, Eagles 22 is Triplett’s prediction. Saints 24, Eagles 20 is McManus’ prediction. NO, according to the FPI (51.0 percent) (by an average of 0.4 points)
Matchup must-reads: Payton expresses disappointment as the Saints lose back-to-back games… Jenkins comes to Philadelphia with one goal in mind: to leave a legacy… After missing a game due to a knee injury, Saints running back Alvin Kamara has returned to practice… Three reasons why the Eagles have a chance to reach the playoffs
1 p.m. ET | 41.8 CBS Matchup Rating | BAL -4.5 Spread (45)
What to look out for: Lamar Jackson vs. Justin Fields is the main event. The Bears are hoping Fields can one day match Jackson’s dominance, and coach Matt Nagy described Jackson as “exceptional” on Wednesday. Jackson, according to Fields, can accomplish things that most other players can’t. Fields himself is still a work in progress, with just four touchdowns and eight interceptions. However, in Pittsburgh, the youngster had a good fourth quarter, which Nagy believes he can take over to the Ravens game. To beat Baltimore, the Bears will need Fields to have a fantastic day. Dickerson, Jeff
Jackson will rush for 130 yards, the most by a quarterback this season, according to a bold forecast. Jackson has won all 12 of his starts against NFC opponents, tying for the second-longest interconference run by a quarterback to start a career. One of the reasons for his success is the way he exploits his speed and elusiveness against NFC opponents who are unfamiliar with him. Against the NFC, he averages 92.9 yards running per game. Jamison Hensley (Jamison Hensley)
It’s worth noting that Ravens WR Marquise Brown has three 100-yard receiving performances this season, while having just two in his career. Another would make him just the fourth Ravens WR in team history to have four such games in a season.
1 p.m. ET | 38.0 Fox Matchup rating | CAR -3.5 spread (43)
What to look out for: Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton. What can Washington expect from a guy who scored touchdowns on his first two of eight plays against Arizona last week? How much of the game plan has Newton assimilated since coming eight days ago? With 376.5 yards allowed per game, Washington ranks 27th in the league, so Newton’s dual-threat abilities and the performance of running back Christian McCaffrey should help him succeed. David Newton is an author.
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Newton will be held to 150 passing yards by Washington’s defense, according to a bold prediction. In his comeback, he’ll energise the Panthers and the crowd, but it’ll be the Panthers’ defense that makes the difference, forcing two turnovers for the fourth straight game. ‘John Keim’
The Panthers have allowed just 29.2 percent of opponent possessions to culminate in a touchdown or field goal, which is the NFL’s second-lowest percentage. The defensive rate for Washington is 48.4 percent, which is the third highest in the NFL.
Washington | Panthers Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: Terry McLaurin of the Washington Redskins hasn’t been a top-30 fantasy receiver in four of his last five games. Check out the Week 11 standings.
Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke has a career ATS record of 3-7, including the playoffs. Two of the three covers have occurred against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Continue reading to learn more.
Panthers 17, Washington 14 (Keim’s selection). Panthers 24, Washington 13 is Newton’s selection. CAR, 62.4 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 4.3 points)
Must-read matchups: Washington earns greatest victory with 19-play march… Newton re-energizes Panthers’ playoff aspirations… Young is gone for the season due to a leg injury, according to Rivera.
1 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 35.4 | TEN -10 spread (44.5)
What to look out for: The Titans’ offense, particularly the running assault, has struggled against two of the NFL’s strongest defenses in the last two weeks. They’ll try to get back on track against the Texans this week, who allow 136 running yards per game. One thing to keep an eye on is how the responsibilities of the running backs continue to evolve. So far, D’Onta Foreman has shown to be the best choice, but Adrian Peterson has started the last two games. Turron Davenport (Turron Davenport)
Brandin Cooks, the Houston receiver, will have his first game with 100 yards receiving since Week 3. Cooks had a strong start with quarterback Tyrod Taylor, but the offense suffered when Taylor hurt his left hamstring and was replaced by rookie quarterback Davis Mills. Cooks will face a Titans squad that has allowed 267.9 passing yards per game on average, which ranks 27th in the NFL. Cooks has 166 receiving yards and two touchdowns in his last game against the Titans at the conclusion of the 2020 season. Sarah Barshop is a writer.
Peterson is one running touchdown away from matching Jim Brown for 10th place all-time in rushing touchdowns (126). He is presently tied for 11th place with Walter Payton.
1 p.m. ET | 32.3 Fox Matchup rating | CLE -11.5 spread (43.5)
What to look for: In his comeback from COVID-19, how will Browns running back Nick Chubb appear? Last year, the virus had a severe impact on Cleveland’s best defensive player, edge rusher Myles Garrett, when he returned off the COVID list. However, the Browns, who are 5-5, need their best offensive player to reclaim his dominance. Jake Trotter’s remark
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D’Andre Swift, the Lions’ running back, will break the 100-yard rushing barrier for the second week in a row. With offensive playcalling duties being taken over by head coach Dan Campbell and the passing game failing, it only makes sense to feed Swift, who is coming off a career-high 130-yard running effort. Swift has shown that he can manage the pressure. Eric Woodyard’s remark
Garrett has the most sacks in the NFL with 13. Meanwhile, the Lions have surrendered 10 sacks in the last two games, which is tied for the most in the NFL.
Lions | Browns Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: Swift got 33 carries in Pittsburgh last week, joining Derrick Henry as the only other player on the 2021 roster with a 30-carry game. However, don’t assume that level usage will continue, since he has yet to have a game with more than 15 carries this season. Check out the Week 11 standings.
Despite its winless record, Detroit is 5-4 ATS this season and 5-1 ATS when favored by at least four points. Continue reading to learn more.
Browns 27, Lions 17 is Woodyard’s prediction. Browns 25, Lions 16 is Trotter’s prediction. CLE has a 76.2 percent chance of winning, according to the FPI (by an average of 9.6 points)
Lions QB Jared Goff is day-to-day with an oblique injury, according to Campbell… Browns quarterback Mayfield said that this is the’most battered’ he’s ever been in his NFL career… To make a postseason run, the Browns must get rid of their ‘Jekyll and Hyde’ attitude.
1 p.m. ET | 31.2 Fox Matchup rating | SF -6 spread (45)
What to look for: The Jaguars’ defense has allowed just 22 points in their last two games, including a pair of field goals against Buffalo. However, during his last three games, 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has an 84.2 Total QBR, which is the second-best number in the NFL. Plus, the 49ers are all over the place with receiver Deebo Samuel, which will be a wild card for the Jaguars’ defense to deal with. Mike DiRocco’s remark
Tight end George Kittle of the 49ers will have over 150 receiving yards and two touchdowns, according to a bold prediction. Kittle has scored in consecutive games for the first time this season, but has yet to reach the end zone several times in the same game. The Jaguars’ pass defense has struggled in general, and opponents’ tight ends have been crucial to their success. Opposing tight ends are catching 75.8% of targets and averaging 8.8 yards per attempt in Jacksonville (both of which are 29th in the NFL). That’s a formula for a huge day for Kittle. Nick Wagoner is a writer.
Samuel has 979 receiving yards on the season and is attempting to match Jerry Rice as the only 49ers receivers to achieve 1,000 yards in the first ten games of a season. Rice repeated the process four times.
1 p.m. ET | 11.9 CBS Matchup Rating | MIA -3.5 Spread (44.5)
What to look out for: Tua Tagovailoa of Miami and his injured finger will face Joe Flacco of New York, who will start for the first time since Nov. 22. Tagovailoa will face a defense that has allowed 175 points in the last four games after missing the previous two starts due to a broken finger on his throwing hand. Flacco, who was a late replacement for Mike White, must chuck and duck. The Dolphins have the highest blitz percentage in the NFL, at 39 percent, and Flacco doesn’t have the ability to escape. Cimini, Rich
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Miami will surpass the 100-yard running mark for just the third time this season, according to a bold prediction. Over the last three weeks, the Jets have had the NFL’s second-worst run defense in terms of projected points added (minus-11.99), while the Dolphins have had the worst running offense (2.5 yards per carry). Something has to give, and the visiting team will be the one to do it. — Louis-Jacques Marcel
The Jets became the first team since the Giants of 1966 to surrender 45 points or more three times in a four-game stretch.
Dolphins against. Jets: Injuries
What to know for fantasy: Over the last four weeks, the Jets’ Michael Carter has averaged 19.1 fantasy points per game, ranking him as the RB5 on a per-game basis (ahead of Najee Harris, Austin Ekeler and Ezekiel Elliott, to name a few). Check out the Week 11 standings.
Miami has covered six straight games versus New York, but it is 0-5 ATS as a road favorite since the beginning of the 2017 season. Continue reading to learn more.
Dolphins 24, Jets 10 is Louis-Jacques’ prediction. Dolphins 20, Jets 11 is Cimini’s prediction. MIA, 62.8 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 4.4 points)
Must-read matchups: The Dolphins’ defense is blitzing its way back into shape… In a loaded 2022 NFL draft, the Jets can improve a historically weak defense… The Jets’ choice to start Flacco is perplexing, but there is a bright side.
| CBS Matchup rating: 36.5 | Spread: CIN -1 | 4:05 p.m. ET (50.5)
What to look out for: Will the Raiders’ pass rush go after Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow? For the first time this season, the Raiders were kept without a sack against the Chiefs on Sunday (albeit Raiders fans have plenty of film showing Maxx Crosby being held and battered all night), while Yannick Ngakoue had two sacks in three of his previous four games. Burrow, on the other hand, has only been sacked 25 times, which is four times less than league leader Ryan Tannehill. Oh, and Crosby sacked Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley four times as a rookie in 2019. Gutierrez, Paul
Derek Carr, the Raiders’ quarterback, will throw for more than 350 yards passing. The Raiders’ rushing offense is one of the weakest in the NFL, so they’ll have to rely on passing to move the ball against the Bengals. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Cincinnati has struggled to defend short throws over the last two weeks, and Carr is 15th in the league in air yards per attempt. – Ben Little
Bengals receiver Ja’Marr Chase has been restricted to less than 50 yards receiving in back-to-back games. In each of his first seven games, he scored more than 50 points.
Bengals | Raiders Injuries
4:25 p.m. ET | 81.7 Fox Matchup rating | KC -2.5 spread (56)
What to look out for: During their three-game winning run, the Chiefs’ defense has improved drastically. Over this run, they’ve only allowed 12 points per game, but they haven’t faced an opponent with the offensive firepower of the Cowboys. The Cowboys are the only club in the NFL to rank in the top five in both rushing and passing yards. Do the Chiefs have enough defensive resources to finish the job? Adam Teicher’s remark
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Speculative prediction: Micah Parsons of the Dallas Cowboys will establish a new single-season rookie sack record. He needs three against the Chiefs to break DeMarcus Ware’s eight-game scoring streak from 2005; he has six this season, including 3.5 in his last two games. The Cowboys will make him a terrible matchup for the Chiefs’ offense. Patrick Mahomes, the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, has been sacked 17 times this season, including nine times at home. Todd Archer is a writer.
Mahomes has faced two high safeties at the NFL’s highest rate, according to ESPN coverage measures and NFL Next Gen Stats (61 percent ). At the sixth-lowest rate, the Cowboys play two high safeties (33 percent ).
Cowboys | Chiefs Injuries
What to know in fantasy football: A showdown between the top two quarterbacks in Week 10 might result in a lot of points. It was the third time this season that they finished in the top six in the same position in the same week. Check out the Week 11 standings.
Kansas City has gone 0-5 ATS at home this season, while Dallas has gone 4-0 ATS on the road. Continue reading to learn more.
Cowboys 38, Chiefs 37, according to Archer. Chiefs 30, Cowboys 26 is Teicher’s prediction. DAL, 50.3 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 0.2 points)
Must-reads for the matchup: Inside Cowboys offensive coordinator Moore’s ‘deceptive’ thinking… Mahomes won’t allow the Chiefs’ better defense ‘go unnoticed’… Cowboys rebound, but their destiny might be decided in the next three games.
p.m., 4:25 p.m., 4:25 p.m. ET | Fox Matchup rating: 78.7 | ARI -2.5 spread (48)
What to look out for: The quarterback position is a significant question mark for both teams. For Arizona, the question is whether Kyler Murray will return from an ankle injury that has kept him out of the last two games, and if he does, how dangerous a runner he will be. Can backup Colt McCoy lead the Cardinals to a victory versus Seattle if he doesn’t return, like he did with the Giants last season? The issue for the Seahawks is whether Russell Wilson has completely recovered from his finger surgery and subsequent month-long absence. He was unproductive in his first game back, although he said it wasn’t because of his finger. Brady Henderson’s quote
Murray will return and pass for 350 yards and two touchdowns while also scoring two touchdowns on the ground in a rout. In 14 career starts versus NFC West opponents, he is 5-9 with a 54.8 Total QBR, but he will need a huge game to get the Cardinals back on track after last week’s setback. Josh Weinfuss (@JoshWeinfuss)
The Seahawks have the second-best run stop victory rate (33.4 percent) in the NFL, while the Cardinals have the third-worst (27.7 percent ). The Cardinals, on the other hand, are seventh in run yards per game, while the Seahawks are 22nd.
NBC Matchup rating: 53.4 | Spread: LAC -6 | 8:20 p.m. ET (48.5)
What to look out for: The Chargers’ offense must improve. In his last four games, quarterback Justin Herbert has six throwing touchdowns and four interceptions, while completing less than 60% of his throws in three of them. To get the offense moving, he’ll need the aid of receivers Mike Williams and Keenan Allen. Meanwhile, the Steelers might start either Mason Rudolph or Ben Roethlisberger, so the Chargers’ defense will have to prepare for both. Shelley Smith says:
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Steelers rushing back Najee Harris and Chargers running back Austin Ekeler will each earn 150 yards from scrimmage, according to my bold prediction. Harris had a 100-yard running game against the Lions last week, but he should be much more engaged in the offense against the Chargers after a full week of Pittsburgh game preparing for an unknown quarterback scenario. Furthermore, the Chargers boast the NFL’s worst run defense. Meanwhile, against the Lions, the Steelers’ run defense was atrocious, giving up 130 yards to D’Andre Swift. Ekeler has had a rough go of it lately, but given the Steelers’ defensive gaps and inability to tackle right now, he could be able to turn things around on Sunday. Brooke Pryor is an actress who plays Brooke Pryor.
The Chargers have allowed 30.8 points per game since Week 5, which is the second-highest rate in the NFL. During that time, they’ve also allowed the most run yards per game in the NFL, at 167.6 per game.
Steelers against. Chargers: Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: Touchdowns are the lifeblood of the tight end position, and getting red zone looks is the greatest way to score. Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth has averaged two red zone targets per game over his last four games after seeing just two in his first five games this season. Check out the Week 11 standings.
Betting tip: This season, all three of Pittsburgh’s away games have gone under the total. Continue reading to learn more.
Chargers 26, Steelers 17 is Pryor’s prediction. Chargers 34, Steelers 21 is Smith’s prediction. LAC, 64.4 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 5.0 points)
Must-reads for the matchup: Tomlin: The Steelers will develop a game plan for QB Rudolph while keeping the ‘lamp on’ for Roethlisberger… ‘I truly like doing this,’ Staley says of his work with the Chargers… Sources: Steelers’ defense Bolts’ Fitzpatrick has tested positive for COVID-19… Bosa is on the COVID list as a close contact, according to Staley.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN Matchup rating: 60.7 | TB -11.5 spread (49.5)
What to look for: The Giants are a double-digit underdog against the Buccaneers, but it worked out well for Washington last week. Since 2017, all four games between these two clubs have been decided by three points or less, with last year’s game being settled by two points. Tom Brady of the Buccaneers is 5-3 all-time versus the Giants, including two Super Bowl defeats. Since losing Super Bowl XLVI, he has won three consecutive games against them. Jenna Laine is a writer who lives in New York City.
Buccaneers receiver Chris Godwin will catch ten or more receptions and score a touchdown, according to a bold prediction. The Giants are susceptible in the slot, where second-year CB Darnay Holmes and rookie Aaron Robinson are sharing time. This season, they’ve allowed the fifth-most yards (863) out of the slot. Meanwhile, Godwin’s 373 yards rank seventh in the NFL. On Monday night, he’ll throw a party. Jordan Raanan is a writer.
Mike Evans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seven receiving touchdowns since Week 5 (the most in the NFL), and he’s on pace to catch a touchdown in four consecutive games for the third time in his career.
Louis Riddick outlines why the Buccaneers might be in for a surprise on Monday Night Football against the Giants.
Buccaneers | Giants Injuries
What you should know for fantasy football: Brady struggled last week, finishing QB14. He was last that low in Week 4… and then he went on to have three top-five performances in his following four outings. Check out the Week 11 standings.
New York has covered three consecutive games as a road underdog and is 19-5 ATS in the last four seasons as a road underdog. Continue reading to learn more.
Buccaneers 31, Giants 26 is Raanan’s choice. Buccaneers 30, Giants 27 is Laine’s choice. TB, 78.4 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 10.5 points)
Matchup must-reads: Barkley’s health and playmakers have the Giants excited… ‘The idiocy needs to go away,’ Arians said of the Buccaneers’ blunders in the defeat… CB Sherman has been placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers.
The “week 11 nfl picks against the spread” is a great tool for people who like to make NFL Week 11 game predictions. It gives you the best odds, injuries and more.
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